Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.003030 0.003388 0.003762 0.004181 0.004636 0.005114 0.005655
2024-10-27 0.002458 0.002959 0.003512 0.004165 0.004911 0.005734 0.006705
2024-11-03 0.002080 0.002648 0.003302 0.004103 0.005053 0.006134 0.007452
2024-11-10 0.001826 0.002438 0.003169 0.004093 0.005221 0.006540 0.008186
2024-11-17 0.001611 0.002248 0.003033 0.004055 0.005334 0.006865 0.008816
2024-11-24 0.001495 0.002168 0.003020 0.004156 0.005609 0.007381 0.009679
2024-12-01 0.001313 0.001983 0.002855 0.004049 0.005610 0.007550 0.010110
2024-12-08 0.001195 0.001872 0.002777 0.004044 0.005732 0.007867 0.010726
2024-12-15 0.001147 0.001853 0.002819 0.004194 0.006057 0.008444 0.011679
2024-12-22 0.001074 0.001791 0.002795 0.004251 0.006255 0.008859 0.012431
2024-12-29 0.001029 0.001767 0.002819 0.004372 0.006541 0.009392 0.013343
2025-01-05 0.000994 0.001753 0.002857 0.004512 0.006853 0.009964 0.014315
2025-01-12 0.000884 0.001619 0.002714 0.004391 0.006803 0.010056 0.014663
2025-01-19 0.000812 0.001538 0.002645 0.004371 0.006894 0.010338 0.015269
2025-01-26 0.000736 0.001444 0.002550 0.004308 0.006916 0.010523 0.015744
2025-02-02 0.000680 0.001378 0.002494 0.004297 0.007012 0.010809 0.016358
2025-02-09 0.000622 0.001305 0.002421 0.004257 0.007061 0.011028 0.016882
2025-02-16 0.000600 0.001292 0.002443 0.004362 0.007326 0.011556 0.017843
2025-02-23 0.000536 0.001200 0.002330 0.004251 0.007261 0.011609 0.018137
2025-03-02 0.000498 0.001151 0.002286 0.004246 0.007355 0.011892 0.018758
2025-03-09 0.000491 0.001160 0.002341 0.004402 0.007700 0.012543 0.019915
2025-03-16 0.000468 0.001137 0.002338 0.004461 0.007894 0.012978 0.020767
2025-03-23 0.000458 0.001136 0.002374 0.004587 0.008196 0.013575 0.021862